Kenya Bond Market Update: 23 February 2024

Published on
February 23, 2024
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Friday is Here


Have rates peaked? Investors in the T-bill space and the CBK seem to be signaling that this is the case. From the investors’ perspective, the hint of a shift in interest to the longer dated T-bills that we saw last week has now manifested. Interest in the 364D T-bill more than doubled each of the shorter T-bills as investors moved to lock in the current rates on offer for a longer duration. On the other hand, the CBK rejected just over a third of the bids received as they signal to the market that they will mitigate the push for higher rates from investors. From the move to longer dated T-bills and CBK’s rejection of a significant portion of bids received, these results feed into the notion that rates may be reaching their peak.
To help you navigate the rest of the curve, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!

 
­Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 17.20 16.80 0.00
2Yr 18.40 18.00 0.00
5yr 18.60 18.20 0.00
10yr 17.00 16.50 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.30 16.00 0.00
 
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 15.75 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 15.85 15.75 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.50 15.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 14.75 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.50 12.75 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 17.50 16.75 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 17.40 17.00 0.00
IFB1/2024/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 18.10 17.95 0.05
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 14.0894% -1.49
91 Day T-bill 16.5895% 3.56
182 Day T-bill 16.7344% 1.89
364 Day T-bill 16.9194% 0.06
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 13.00% 50.00
Inflation 6.90% 30.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today and the T-bill auction results for this week.
Bond Positions
T-bill auction Results
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