Kenya Bond Market Update: 17 January 2022

Published on
January 17, 2022
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 Auction Week

 
No changes to my expectations for the two-papers being re-opened. Below are the levels I am expecting:
  • FXD2/2018/10Yr (7.0 years): average to come in between 12.45% - 12.55%, with the cut-off potentially 20bps away from the average. 
  • FXD1/2021/20Yr (19.7 years): average to come in between 13.55% - 13.65%, with the cut off potentially 20bps away from the average.
Attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market and updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are to be found on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the bonds. Below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 9.80 9.35 0.00
2Yr 10.30 10.00 0.00
5yr 11.40 11.30 0.00
10yr 12.70 12.55 0.00
15yr 13.00 12.80 0.00
20yr 13.50 13.30 0.00
25yr 13.70 13.60 0.00
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7
(IFB13)
Nov-24 9.90 9.50 0.00
IFB1/2016/9
(IFB10)
May-25 10.00 9.60 0.00
IFB1/2015/12
(IFB8)
Mar-27 10.00 9.50 0.07
IFB1/2017/12
(IFB12)
Feb-29 10.80 10.60 0.00
IFB1/2016/15
(IFB11)
Oct-31 11.40 11.20 0.00
IFB1/2018/15
(IFB14)
Jan-33 12.20 11.80 0.00
XIFB1/2018/20
(IFB15)
Oct-38 12.00 11.80 0.00
IFB1/2019/25
(IFB16)
Feb-44 12.50 12.15 0.00
IFB1/2019/16
(IFB17)
Oct-35 12.25 12.10 -0.02
IFB1/2020/9
(IFB18)
Apr-29 11.10 10.90 0.00
IFB1/2020/6
(IFB19)
May-26 10.00 9.70 0.00
IFB1/2020/11
(IFB20)
Aug-31 12.05 11.80 -0.02
IFB1/2021/16
(IFB21)
Jan-37 12.30 12.20 0.00
IFB1/2021/18
(IFB22)
Mar-39 12.45 12.25 0.00
IFB1/2021/21
(IFB23)
Aug-42 12.55 12.45 0.00
 
Key Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 3.4436% -20.78
91 Day T-bill 7.309% -3.60
182 Day T-bill 8.081% 4.00
364 Day T-bill 9.474% 3.00
Inflation 5.73% -7.00

 
Bond Positions Available Today
CBK Weekly Bulletin
NSE Implied Yields
Bond Auction Prospectus - January 2022
Trade Now

MATHANGANI KARIUKI


Director | Bespoke Securities

Director, Interest Rates | AKN Investments


+254 (0) 732472655

Eikon Messenger: 
mathanganik@bespokesecurities.co.ke
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