Auction Week
No changes to my expectations for the two-papers being re-opened. Below are the levels I am expecting:
- FXD2/2018/10Yr (7.0 years): average to come in between 12.45% - 12.55%, with the cut-off potentially 20bps away from the average.
- FXD1/2021/20Yr (19.7 years): average to come in between 13.55% - 13.65%, with the cut off potentially 20bps away from the average.
Attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market and updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are to be found on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the bonds. Below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!
|
|
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors |
Benchmark Tenor |
Bid (%) |
Offer (%) |
Mov (t-t0)% |
1Yr |
9.80 |
9.35 |
0.00 |
2Yr |
10.30 |
10.00 |
0.00 |
5yr |
11.40 |
11.30 |
0.00 |
10yr |
12.70 |
12.55 |
0.00 |
15yr |
13.00 |
12.80 |
0.00 |
20yr |
13.50 |
13.30 |
0.00 |
25yr |
13.70 |
13.60 |
0.00 |
|
|
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series |
IFB series |
Maturity |
Bid (%) |
Offer (%) |
Mov (t-t0)% |
IFB1/2017/7
(IFB13)
|
Nov-24 |
9.90 |
9.50 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2016/9
(IFB10) |
May-25 |
10.00 |
9.60 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2015/12
(IFB8) |
Mar-27 |
10.00 |
9.50 |
0.07 |
IFB1/2017/12
(IFB12) |
Feb-29 |
10.80 |
10.60 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2016/15
(IFB11) |
Oct-31 |
11.40 |
11.20 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2018/15
(IFB14) |
Jan-33 |
12.20 |
11.80 |
0.00 |
XIFB1/2018/20
(IFB15) |
Oct-38 |
12.00 |
11.80 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2019/25
(IFB16) |
Feb-44 |
12.50 |
12.15 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2019/16
(IFB17) |
Oct-35 |
12.25 |
12.10 |
-0.02 |
IFB1/2020/9
(IFB18) |
Apr-29 |
11.10 |
10.90 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2020/6
(IFB19) |
May-26 |
10.00 |
9.70 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2020/11
(IFB20) |
Aug-31 |
12.05 |
11.80 |
-0.02 |
IFB1/2021/16
(IFB21) |
Jan-37 |
12.30 |
12.20 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2021/18
(IFB22) |
Mar-39 |
12.45 |
12.25 |
0.00 |
IFB1/2021/21
(IFB23) |
Aug-42 |
12.55 |
12.45 |
0.00 |
|
|
Key Interest Rates |
|
Mov (bps) |
O/N Interbank |
3.4436% |
-20.78 |
91 Day T-bill |
7.309% |
-3.60 |
182 Day T-bill |
8.081% |
4.00 |
364 Day T-bill |
9.474% |
3.00 |
Inflation |
5.73% |
-7.00 |
|
|
|
|