Kenya Bond Market Update: 17 April 2023

Published on
April 17, 2023
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Auction Week


It’s another auction week and we have the FXD1/2022/3Yr (2.0 years) and the FXD1/2019/15Yr (10.9 years) up for grabs. The sale period for these bonds closes tomorrow and my expectations are as below:
  • FXD1/2022/3Yr (2.0 years): Average of within 13.40% - 13.50%
  • FXD1/2019/15Yr (10.9 years): Average of within 14.40% - 14.50%
  • Attached is the bond prospectus for all the information required
The Tap Sale results of the IFB1/2023/17Yr have been attached. The CBK managed to lock in KES 5.119Bn, short of their KES 10Bn target.
For your activity away from the primary, attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market while updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are ready for your perusal on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the treasuries and inflation data for March 2023.
To bring it all together, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting and best wishes for the auction ahead!

 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 11.00 10.50 0.00
2Yr 13.00 12.50 0.00
5yr 14.00 13.65 0.00
10yr 14.30 14.10 0.00
15yr 14.30 14.00 0.00
20yr 14.50 14.00 0.00
25yr 14.50 14.20 0.00
 

Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 13.20 12.70 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 13.20 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 13.30 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 14.00 13.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 13.80 13.50 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 14.00 12.90 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 13.70 13.50 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 13.20 12.70 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 12.30 12.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 13.70 13.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 14.00 13.60 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 14.00 13.60 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 14.20 13.80 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 14.00 13.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 14.00 13.70 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 13.80 13.70 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 13.30 13.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 14.425 14.35 -0.01
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 8.5315% 7.21
91 Day T-bill 10.072% 6.80
182 Day T-bill 10.428% 6.00
364 Day T-bill 10.932% 7.50
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 9.50% 75.00
Inflation 9.19% -4.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today, the NSE Implied Yields, the CBK Weekly Report, the IFB1/2023/17Yr TAP Sale results and the April 2023 bond auction prospectus.
 
Bond Positions
NSE Implied Yields
CBK Weekly Report
IFB1/2023/17Yr
April 2023 Bond Auction
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