Kenya Bond Market Update: 14 August 2023

Published on
August 14, 2023
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Auction Week

 
The sale-period of the new 2Yr, FXD1/2023/2Yr, and the re-opened 5Yr, FXD1/2023/5Yr, closes on Wednesday (16-Aug-2023). The CBK is seeking to secure KES 40bn from this auction. With the introduction of CBK’s new system, the CBK DhowCSD, the sale-period of bond auctions will end on the same day as the auction. My expectations for this auction are as follows:
  • FXD1/2023/2Yr: average between 17.25% – 17.35%
  • FXD1/2023/5Yr (4.9 years left): average between 17.85% - 17.95%
  • The bond prospectus is attached with all details required to submit your bids
For your trading activities for the day and week ahead, attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market while updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are ready for your perusal on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the treasuries.
To bring it all together, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!

 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 13.75 13.25 0.00
2Yr 17.00 16.00 0.35
5yr 17.20 16.90 0.00
10yr 17.00 16.50 0.00
15yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
20yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
25yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
 
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 13.50 12.75 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.00 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 15.00 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 15.00 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.00 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.00 12.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 15.00 14.75 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.75 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 15.70 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 15.30 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 15.70 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 13.30 13.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 15.70 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.00 15.60 0.00
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 9.0536% 25.41
91 Day T-bill 13.1104% 42.49
182 Day T-bill 13.4381% 88.02
364 Day T-bill 13.3402% 23.30
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 10.50% 0.00
Inflation 7.30% -70.00
 
 
Attached are the bond positions available today, the NSE Implied Yields for last week, the CBK Weekly Report and the bond auction prospectus for August 2023.
 
Bond Positions
NSE Implied Yields
CBK Weekly Report
Bond Auction Prospectus for August 2023
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