Kenya Bond Market Update: 12 September 2023

Published on
September 12, 2023
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Last Bid Calls


The sale period for this month’s bond auction ends tomorrow morning. Bids must be submitted by 10.00 AM EAT. Below are my updated expectations of how these papers will perform:
  • FXD1/2023/2Yr (1.9 years left): average within the 16.95% - 17.00% range. Cut-off to come in at 17.00%
  • FXD1/2016/10Yr (2.9 years left): average within the 17.40% - 17.50% range. Cut-off to come in at 17.50%
  • Subscription: Oversubscription
Away from this, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy bidding & hunting!
 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 15.00 14.50 0.00
2Yr 16.80 16.50 0.00
5yr 17.80 17.50 0.00
10yr 17.00 16.50 0.00
15yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
20yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
25yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
 
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 13.50 12.75 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.00 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 15.00 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 15.00 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.00 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.00 12.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 15.75 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.75 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 15.70 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 15.30 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 15.70 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 13.30 13.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 15.90 15.65 0.00
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 12.4401% 5.01
91 Day T-bill 14.2337% 24.86
182 Day T-bill 14.3686% 42.98
364 Day T-bill 14.8603% 109.53
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 10.50% 0.00
Inflation 6.70% -60.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today and the Bond Auction Prospectus for September 2023.
 
Bond Positions
Bond Auction Prospectus
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