Kenya Bond Market Update: 11 September 2023

Published on
September 11, 2023
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Another Auction Week


More re-opened goodies from the CBK will be auctioned this week. The FXD1/2023/2Yr and FXD1/2016/10Yr are on offer and below are my expectations of how these papers will perform:
  • FXD1/2023/2Yr (1.9 years left): average within the 16.85% - 16.95% range. Cut-off to come in at 17.00%
  • FXD1/2016/10Yr (2.9 years left): average within the 17.40% - 17.50% range. Cut-off to come in at 17.50%
  • Subscription: Oversubscription
  • Sale period ends on Wednesday (13-Sep-2023), at 10.00 A.M EAT
For your trading activities for the day and week ahead, attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market while updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are ready for your perusal on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the treasuries.
To bring it all together, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!

 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 15.00 14.50 0.00
2Yr 16.80 16.50 0.00
5yr 17.80 17.50 0.00
10yr 17.00 16.50 0.00
15yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
20yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
25yr 17.00 16.00 0.00
 
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 13.50 12.75 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.00 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 15.00 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 15.00 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.00 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.00 12.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 15.75 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.75 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 15.70 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 15.30 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 15.70 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 13.30 13.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 15.90 15.65 0.00
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 12.3900% 1.47
91 Day T-bill 14.2337% 24.86
182 Day T-bill 14.3686% 42.98
364 Day T-bill 14.8603% 109.53
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 10.50% 0.00
Inflation 6.70% -60.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today, the NSE Implied Yields, the CBK Weekly Report and the Bond Auction Prospectus for September 2023.
 
Bond Positions
NSE Implied Yields
CBK Weekly Report
Bond Auction Prospectus
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