Kenya Bond Market Update: 11 July 2023

Published on
July 11, 2023
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Place Those Bets

 
The sale period for this month’s bond auction closes today. Bids must be placed at the CBK by 2.00 PM EAT. My last-minute updated expectations for this auction are as follows:
  • FXD1/2016/10Yr (3.2 years left): average between 16.10% – 16.30%
  • FXD1/2023/5Yr: average between 16.20% - 16.40%
  • Subscription: Oversubscription
Away from the primary auction, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy bidding and hunting!
 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 12.50 12.00 0.00
2Yr 16.00 15.00 0.00
5yr 16.00 15.00 0.00
10yr 15.50 14.50 0.00
15yr 16.00 15.00 0.00
20yr 16.00 15.00 0.00
25yr 16.00 15.00 0.00
 

Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 12.60 12.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 13.20 12.60 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 13.30 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 13.80 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 14.00 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 14.50 14.10 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 15.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 14.50 13.80 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 13.75 13.50 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.00 12.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 14.50 14.10 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.50 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 15.70 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 15.50 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 15.50 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 15.50 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 13.30 13.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 15.50 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 15.35 15.20 -0.10
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 9.2019% -13.43
91 Day T-bill 12.014% 11.00
182 Day T-bill 12.199% 25.20
364 Day T-bill 12.250% 9.30
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 10.50% 100.00
Inflation 7.90% -10.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today and the bond prospectus for July 2023.
Bond Positions
Bond Prospectus for July 2023
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